Initial food production scaling calculations for alternate foods

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Do initial food production scaling calculations (like were done in Feeding Everyone) for additional alternate foods such as:

    1. Chemically changing petroleum to human edible lipids
    2. Chemical synthesis from fossil fuels
    3. Gasification of coal/peat and hydrogen powered bacteria

Why do we think this is important?

This topic is proposed by The Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (ALLFED) that is working on alternate foods that could be scaled up quickly in a catastrophe and are generally not dependent on sunlight. Agricultural global catastrophes include super volcanic eruption and nuclear war with the burning of cities and the smoke rising to the upper atmosphere, blocking the sun. These could kill billions of people and jeopardize the long-term future of humanity (one definition of existential risk). The probability is order of magnitude 1% per year. There are many fields that could contribute to this effort, and they have listed dozens of effective theses on this site. David Denkenberger and Joshua Pearce are professors who could potentially co-advise or advise some of these theses if a suitable local advisor cannot be found. They are very good at generating peer-reviewed publications from their projects, even undergraduate ones. More reading is here.

Where to look next

Denkenberger, D. C., & Pearce, J. M. (2015). Feeding everyone: Solving the food crisis in event of global catastrophes that kill crops or obscure the sun. Futures, 72, 57-68.

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